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2024-12-13 22:58:48

Today's key financial news reminds us (the following are all Beijing time) that ① the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November may be released; ② At 15: 00, Andrew Hauser, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, gave a speech at ABE Annual Banquet; ③ Time to be determined: OPEC publishes monthly crude oil market report; 4 21: 30 US CPI; in November; ⑤ At 22: 45, the Bank of Canada issued a policy interest rate; ⑥ At 23: 30, us energy information administration (EIA) released the weekly report of government crude oil inventory; 7. The next day at 03:00, the U.S. government budget for November; (8) Adobe released a performance report after the US stock market closed; 9 At 05:30 the next day, the Brazilian central bank announced the Selic policy interest rate; Attending the speech of Assistant Chairman Jones of Reserve Bank of Australia at 06:15 the next day.Market information: Nissan will appoint JÉRÉMIE PAPIN as the chief financial officer on Wednesday.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)


Jin Guanping, Economic Daily: Implement more active and promising macro policies. The article points out that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025, and put forward "implement more active and promising macro policies" and "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment" in view of the macro policy orientation next year, and clearly implement more active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies. This important deployment has released a clear signal of strengthening macro-control and strong and steady growth. Implementing a "more active" fiscal policy means increasing fiscal countercyclical adjustment and improving the effectiveness of fiscal policy while maintaining policy stability and continuity. "Moderately loose" means that monetary policy will better reflect the supportive stance and orientation, maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, and further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents.The Iraqi Prime Minister met with the commander of the US Central Command to discuss the situation in Syria and other issues. The Iraqi Prime Minister and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Sudani met with the commander of the US Central Command, michael curry Al-Ra, in Baghdad on December 10th. During the talks, the two sides discussed the cooperation and coordination between Iraq and the League of Nations in the fight against terrorism and extremism. Sudani emphasized that Iraq is an important member of the "League of Nations" and is committed to cooperating with the League to jointly crack down on and track down terrorist organizations in order to safeguard regional security and stability. Curilla emphasized that the League of Nations promised to support Iraq in safeguarding its security and sovereignty and resisting any terrorist threat. The two sides also discussed the latest progress of the situation in Syria and its lasting impact on the region. Sudani said that the Syrian people's free choice should be respected, and Iraq is willing to help the Syrian people in the current transitional stage. (CCTV)The crude oil futures of the previous issue closed up 0.25% at 530.8 yuan/barrel at night. Shanghai Gold closed up 0.67% at 626.52 yuan/g, and Shanghai Bank closed up 0.15% at 7962 yuan/kg.


Trump said that he chose Andrew Feargus, Commissioner of the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC), as the FTC chairman.Market information: Nissan will appoint JÉRÉMIE PAPIN as the chief financial officer on Wednesday.The U.S. stock Seven Sisters | Google A closed up about 5.6%, and the breakthrough of quantum chip Willow was remarkable. NVIDIA fell by 2.7%. On Tuesday (December 10th), in Magnificent 7, Google's parent company Alphabet(GOOGL) closed up 5.59%-leading the S&P 500 telecom sector, and the biggest one-day increase since April. Approaching the record closing price of $190.71 on July 10, investors pay attention to the company's latest quantum computing chip Willow, which has achieved amazing results in the benchmark test; Tesla rose 2.87%, Meta Platforms rose over 0.9%, Apple rose over 0.4% and continued to hit a record closing high, Amazon fell over 0.4%, Microsoft fell 0.6% and NVIDIA fell 2.69%. In addition, Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares closed down 0.3%, Lilly Pharmaceuticals fell 0.5%, AMD fell 2.39%, and TSMC ADR fell 3.63%.

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